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Pg. 9-10 The 1990/91 South African Litchi Tree Census and Future Crop Predictions

An analysis of the 1990/91 South African litchi tree census shows a trend in favour of Mauritius plantings against Madras types. The heavy sales of nursery trees (200 000 trees per annum) results in a prediction that the total crop could increase from 4 8OO tonnes to 28 000 tonnes, within the next ten years.

Summary:

  • The 1990/91 South African litchi tree census was conducted to assess current plantings and predict future crop growth.

  • There is a clear trend favoring Mauritius type litchi plantings over Madras types in South Africa.

  • Nursery sales are heavy, around 200,000 trees per annum, indicating rapid industry expansion.

  • Current litchi production is estimated at approximately 4,820 tonnes per year.

  • With expected growth in young trees (0-5 years and 5-10 years age groups), production is predicted to more than double to about 10,300 tonnes by 1996.

  • If nursery sales continue, the potential total yield could reach around 28,000 tonnes within ten years.

  • The census representing about 45% of total production and 80% of nursery sales was used to adjust production estimates.

  • The majority of harvested fruit will be available December to January, requiring advance logistical planning for handling and marketing.

  • The South African Litchi Growers Association and its members cooperated in compiling the census data supporting this research.

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